Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 423.721903 481.190763 544.845909 620.799266 709.240802 809.306817 931.566864
2026-01-11 339.001083 414.588636 505.817476 624.916343 777.584827 968.453487 1227.870558
2026-01-18 286.514505 367.250865 470.199208 612.733308 807.533763 1068.218582 1449.890101
2026-01-25 249.323838 331.744197 441.569511 601.063528 830.873168 1156.446564 1664.380994
2026-02-01 229.581801 315.796332 435.293565 616.508375 890.590610 1300.037703 1978.390757
2026-02-08 208.459618 294.877694 418.719461 613.608604 921.011316 1402.091429 2242.911723
2026-02-15 190.054057 275.557932 401.765242 607.067523 943.415108 1492.638397 2501.315280
2026-02-22 177.044077 262.718142 392.755349 611.068935 982.016226 1613.260074 2830.505329
2026-03-01 162.781182 246.466885 376.614167 601.255749 995.493163 1691.615481 3094.609707
2026-03-08 151.599086 233.959124 365.043720 597.395421 1018.093652 1788.173144 3409.341401
2026-03-15 138.316186 216.903355 344.442268 575.653150 1005.581689 1817.309467 3592.125019
2026-03-22 134.104068 214.337986 347.609780 595.831362 1072.500783 2007.138129 4148.471137
2026-03-29 130.357397 212.427843 352.027388 619.373454 1150.233285 2233.197910 4840.611818
2026-04-05 123.604662 204.815068 345.817772 622.473459 1188.179400 2383.439442 5392.148782
2026-04-12 115.314940 193.820161 332.542623 610.461427 1193.391509 2463.392500 5788.407219
2026-04-19 107.878913 183.777682 320.145556 598.828083 1197.782064 2541.894575 6198.458206
2026-04-26 104.652840 181.106536 321.177408 614.208146 1262.477931 2769.684543 7064.486726
2026-05-03 99.402789 174.292152 313.755298 611.320664 1285.950082 2902.595351 7697.456189
2026-05-10 94.161286 167.116664 305.050619 604.807727 1300.195772 3014.854792 8298.445441
2026-05-17 90.510632 162.707751 301.412850 608.791939 1339.602995 3197.931897 9167.490684
2026-05-24 85.667332 155.662319 291.958774 599.020898 1344.465559 3290.533356 9770.562272
2026-05-31 81.788530 150.255044 285.428470 595.177121 1363.564336 3425.306022 10555.028627
2026-06-07 76.453465 141.629311 271.664214 573.527754 1334.868361 3421.409013 10852.436852